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Friday March 27, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 26, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (0)

At 8:30 am EST the US will release GDP q/q. Expected at 2.4 after a prior of 2.2. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.7 or higher.


Good luck everybody!

Thursday March 26, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 25, 2015 at 7:50 PM Comments comments (0)

At 5:30 am EST the UK will release Retail Sales. Expected at 0.4 after a prior of -0.3. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher.


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Natural Gas Inventories. Check expected number tomorrow a couple of minutes before the publication, prior reading is -45 Bcf.


Range: 32 Bcf

High estimate: +25 Bcf

Low estimate: -7 Bcf

Average: 8.4 Bcf

Standard deviation: 6.9 Bcf


Set it up on Natural Gas with a trigger of 10 or higher if your broker allows you to trade it. Remember that higher numbers means a sell and lower numbers, a buy.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday March 24, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 24, 2015 at 6:50 PM Comments comments (0)

At 5:30 am EST Germany will release Ifo Business Climate. Expected at 107.4 after a prior of 106.8. Set it up on EURUSD with a trigger of 2.0 or higher.


At 8:30 am EST the US will release Core Durable Goods Orders. Expected at 0.3 after a prior of 0.0. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 2.0 or any other USD pair. 


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Check this e-mail and set it up on Oil with a trigger of 7 Mb and use Gasoline as a confirmation with a trigger of 2 Mb.


                           **********************************************************************

Analysts Expect 5.6 Million-Barrel Rise in Crude Stocks

Published: Mar 24, 2015

By Timothy Puko

 

U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to have risen sharply in data due on Wednesday from the Department of Energy.

 

Estimates from 11 analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal showed U.S. oil inventories were projected to have grown by 5.6 million barrels, on average, in the week ended March 20. All 11 analysts expected stockpiles to have risen, with forecasts ranging from 2.5 million barrels to 8.1 million barrels.

 

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m., ET, on Wednesday.

 

Meanwhile, gasoline stockpiles are expected to have fallen 1.7 million barrels, according to analysts. Nine analysts canvassed expected a decline, with two expecting a rise. Estimates ranged from a drop of 3.5 million barrels to a rise of 600,000 barrels.

 

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to have fallen by 500,000 barrels. Eight analysts expected a decline, while three saw a rise. Forecasts ranged from a drop of 2.5 million barrels to a gain of 2 million barrels.

 

Refinery use is seen to have climbed half a percentage point to 88.6% of capacity, based on EIA data. Eight analysts expected an increase, one expected a decline, one expected no change and one didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts ranged from a 0.3-point decline to an increase of 1 point.

 

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is scheduled to release its inventory data for the same period later on Tuesday.

 

 

Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital 3.3 0.6 1.6 0.6

Citi Futures Perspective 4.5 -2.5 -1.5 0.5

Confluence Investment Management 6.0 -2.5 -1.0 1.0

EBW Analytics Group 8.0 -1.5 2.0 0.2

Energy Management Institute 4.5 -0.8 1.9 -0.3

Excel Futures 8.1 -2.6 -1.1 0.7

IAF Advisors 5.0 0.5 -2.5 n.a.

Price Futures Group 2.5 -2.0 -2.0 0

Ritterbusch and Associates 7.5 -2.5 -1.0 0.4

Schneider Electric 7.2 -1.7 -0.7 0.5

Tradition Energy 5.0 -3.5 -1.5 1.0

Average 5.6 -1.7 -0.5 0.5


                                    ***************************************************************


Good luck everybody!

Tuesday March 24, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 23, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (0)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release CPI y/y. Expected at 0.1 after a  prior of 0.3. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 0.3 or higher. 


At 8:30 am EST the US will release Core CPI m/m. Expected at 0.1 after a prior of 0.2. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.3 or higher. 


Good luck everybody!

Thursday March 19, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 18, 2015 at 7:25 PM Comments comments (0)

At 5:00 am EST Norway will release their Interest Rate Decision. Expected to cut by 0.25 basic points, from 1.25 (prior) to 1.0 (expected). This is not tradeable with FNG but for other people who uses another autoclick like SNW for example. Set it up on EURNOK or USDNOK with a trigger of 0.25 and don't forget to reverse the triggers.


I don't have statistics for Natural Gas but if you want to try it use a trigger of 10. It's released at 10:30 am EST. You can check expected number tomorrow, prior reading is -198 Bcf. Remember higher numbers means a sell and lower numbers, a buy.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday March 18, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 17, 2015 at 7:25 PM Comments comments (0)

I suggest to skip UK Claimant Count Change due to the potencial conflict with Interest Rate and Asset Purchase Facility votes.


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil inventories. Use a trigger of 7 for Oil and 2 million barrel for Gasoline. Here are the statitstics:


                                       *************************************************************

Analysts Forecast 4.1M-Barrel Build in Crude Stocks

Published: Mar 17, 2015

 

By Nicole Friedman

 

 

NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to show a rise in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

 

Estimates from 11 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have risen by 4.1 million barrels, on average, in the week ended March 13.

 

All 11 analysts expect stockpiles to rise. Forecasts range from a rise of 2 million barrels to a gain of 7 million barrels.

 

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.

 

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to fall by 900,000 barrels, according to analysts. Seven analysts expect a decline, with four expecting a rise. Estimates range from a rise of 1 million barrels to a drop of 3 million barrels.

 

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 500,000 barrels. Eight analysts expect a decline, while three see a gain. Forecasts range from a drop of 2.6 million barrels to a gain of 3 million barrels.

 

Refinery use is seen staying unchanged at 87.8% of capacity, based on EIA data. Four analysts expect a decline, four expect a rise, one sees no change and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 1 percentage point to a drop of 1.5 point.

 

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed that crude stockpiles rose by 10.5 million barrels, while gasoline supplies fell by 583,000 barrels and distillate inventories fell by 252,000 barrels, according to industry sources.

 

 

Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Citi Futures Perspective 4.5 -1.5 -2.5 -0.5

Confluence Investment Management 3.0 -3.0 -1.0 0.5

Energy Management Institute 3.0 0.5 2.8 -0.3

Excel Futures 3.1 0.6 3.0 0.6

Frost & Sullivan 2.5 -2.0 -2.0 -1.0

IAF Advisors 4.5 0.5 -1.5 n/a

Price Futures Group 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

Ritterbusch and Associates 6.2 -1.9 -2.6 unch

Schneider Electric 7.0 -0.7 -1.0 1.0

Tradition Energy 2.0 -3.0 -1.0 -1.5

Tyche Capital Advisors 6.5 -0.5 -1.0 n/a

 

AVERAGE 4.1 -0.9 -0.5 unch


                                    ****************************************************************


At 2:00 pm EDT the FOMC will relese their Interest Rate decision. Expected to hold at 0.25. Use FNG and set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.25. The statement and the Press Conference at 2:30 pm will provide some volatility as well.


At 4:45 pm EST New Zeland will release GDP q/q. Expected at 0.8 after a prior of 1.0. Use FNG and set it up on NZDUSD with a trigger of 0.3 or higher. 


Good luck everybody!


Friday March 13, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 12, 2015 at 7:15 PM Comments comments (0)

At 8:30 am EST Canada will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will focus on the Change. Expected at -3.5k after a prior of 35.4k. Use FNG and set it up on USDCAD, EURCAD or GBPCAD with a trigger of 20k. You can also trade CADJPY reversing the signal or any other CAD pair.


Good luck everybody! 

Thursday March 12, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 11, 2015 at 8:30 PM Comments comments (6)

At 8:30 am EST the US will release Core Retail Sales. Expected at 0.6 after a prior of -0.9. Use FNG and set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 1.0 or higher.


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will publish Natural Gas Inventories. I could not find any statistics for tomorrow at the moment. Use FNG and set it up on Natural Gas with a trigger of 10 and don't forget to reverse the triggers. I will post it on the blog if i get it before the publication.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday March 11, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 10, 2015 at 8:35 PM Comments comments (0)

********UPDATE********


At 7:30 pm EST Australia will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will trade the change. Expected at 15.3k after a prior of -12.2k. Use a trigger of 20k or higher. This will be subject to the Australian delay so maybe straddle can work pretty well if it deviates enough.


Good luck everybody!


At 4:30 am EST the UK will release Manufacturing Production and Industrial Production. We will focus on Industrial Production. Expected at 0.2 after a prior of -0.2. Use FNG and set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher. 


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Check expected number tomorrow and Use a trigger of +-7 for Oil and +-2 for Gasoline. Read this article for the statistics:


                               *************************************************************

Analysts Forecast 4.8 Million-Barrel Build in Crude-Oil Stocks

Published: Mar 10, 2015

By Nicole Friedman

 

NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to rise in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

 

Estimates from 11 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have risen by 4.8 million barrels, on average, in the week ended March 6.

 

All 11 analysts expect stockpiles to increase. Forecasts range from a rise of 2 million barrels to an increase of 8.5 million barrels.

 

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT on Wednesday.

 

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to fall by 1.7 million barrels, according to analysts. Ten analysts expect a decline, with one expecting a rise. Estimates range from a rise of 500,000 barrels to a drop of 3 million barrels.

 

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 2.3 million barrels. All 11 analysts expect a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 1.2 million barrels to a decrease of 3.3 million barrels.

 

Refinery use is seen falling 0.4 percentage point to 86.2% of capacity, based on EIA data. Seven analysts expect a decline, one expects a rise, one sees no change and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 0.3 point to a drop of 1.0 point.

 

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its data for the same week showed that crude supplies fell by 404,000 barrels, while gasoline stocks rose by 1.7 million barrels and distillate inventories also rose by 1.7 million barrels, according to industry sources.

 

 

Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital 3.3 -0.6 -1.4 0.3

Citi Futures Perspective 4.5 -1.5 -2.5 -0.5

Confluence Investment Management 6.0 -2.5 -2.0 -0.5

EBW AnalyticsGroup 8.5 -0.7 -1.2 -0.1

Excel Futures 8.1 -2.7 -3.3 -0.4

Frost & Sullivan 3.25 -2.0 -2.5 -0.5

IAF Advisors 5.0 0.5 -2.5 n/a

Price Futures Group 2.0 -2.0 -3.0 -1.0

Ritterbusch and Associates 4.5 -3.0 -3.0 unch

Tradition Energy 2.0 -3.0 -2.0 -0.5

Tyche Capital Advisors 5.3 -1.25 -1.75 n/a

 

AVERAGE 4.8 -1.7 -2.3 -0.4

                              *******************************************************************


At 15:00 pm EDT New Zeland will publish their Interest Rate Decision. Expected to hold at 3.5. Use FNG and set it up on NZDUSD with a trigger of 0.25. The Statement and the Press Conference may provide some volatility as well.


Good luck everybody!

    

Monday March 9, 2015

Posted by wingstar on March 9, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (0)

Some of you asked to put triggers for China CPI y/y. It's Released at  6:30 pm EDT. Expected at 1.0 after a prior of 0.8. Use FNG and set it up on AUDUSD or AUDJPY wit a trigger of 0.5 or higher. Higher numbers means a buy and lower, a sell.


Good luck everybody!


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