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Friday April 17, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 16, 2015 at 6:25 PM Comments comments (3)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release Claimant Count Change. Expected at -29.1k after a prior of -31.1k. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 20k or higher. 


At 8:30 am EST the US will release Core CPI and Canada will release Core CPI and Core Retail Sales. Because of the potencial conflict i suggest to skip them.


Good luck everybody!

Thursday April 16, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 15, 2015 at 6:05 PM Comments comments (1)

At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Natural Gas Inventories. Check expected number tomorrow a couple of minutes before the data comes out. I don't have any statistics at the momen but you can set it up on Natural Gas with a trigger of 10. Remember that higher numbers means a sell and lower numbers a buy. I will try to post something if i get it before the publication. 


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday April 15, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 14, 2015 at 5:35 PM Comments comments (0)

At 7:45 am EST the ECB will release Interest Rate. Expected to hold at 0.05. Set it up on EURUSD with a trigger of 0.05. At 8:30 am EST the ECB Press Conference will provide some volatility if you whant to scalp a few pips. You can watch it live here: http://www.bloomberg.com/live/europe


At 10:00 am EST Canada will release Interest Rate together with the Rate Statement and the Monetary Policy Report. Expected to hold at 0.75 basic points. Set it up on USDCAD with a trigger of 0.25. Straddle may work pretty well even if they don't change the Interest Rate.


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Read this article and set it up on Oil with a trigger of 7 and use Gasoline as a confirmation:


                                              *****************************************************

Analysts Forecast 3.6 Million-Barrel Buildup in Crude Stocks

Published: Apr 14, 2015

By Nicole Friedman

 

NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to rise in data scheduled to be released Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

 

Estimates from 12 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories are projected to have risen by 3.6 million barrels, on average, in the week ended April 10.

 

Eleven analysts expect stockpiles to increase, while one expects a decrease. Forecasts range from a rise of 5.7 million barrels to a drop of 1 million barrels.

 

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.

 

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to increase by 100,000 barrels in the week, according to analysts. Six analysts expect an increase, while five see a decline, and another sees no change. Estimates range from a rise of 2.5 million barrels to a drop of 2.5 million barrels.

 

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to rise by 500,000 barrels. Eight analysts expect a rise, while four see a decline. Forecasts range from a drop of 1 million barrels to a gain of 2.5 million barrels.

 

Refinery use is seen rising 0.5 percentage point to 90.6% of capacity, based on EIA data. Nine analysts expect an increase, one expects no change and two didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a rise of 1 point to unchanged.

 

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Tuesday that its own data for the same week showed that crude stocks rose by 2.6 million barrels, while gasoline inventores fell by 4.1 million barrels and distillate supplies fell by 600,000 barrels, according to market participants.

 

Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital 3.7 0.9 1.1 0.3

Citi Futures Perspective 3.5 -2.5 -1.0 0.5

Confluence Investment Management 3.0 -1.5 -0.5 1.0

EBW AnalyticsGroup 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.1

Energy Management Institute 4.0 1.5 2.5 0.5

Excel Futures 5.7 1.3 0.6 0.5

Frost & Sullivan -1.0 -2.0 1.0 1.0

IAF Advisors 2.5 -0.5 0.5 n/a

Price Futures Group 3.5 1.0 1.0 unch

Ritterbusch and Associates 5.5 unch 1.1 1.0

Schneider Electric 5.0 -1.0 -0.75 0.5

Tyche Capital Advisors 4.2 2.5 -1.0 n/a

 

AVERAGE 3.6 0.1 0.5 0.5


                                      ******************************************************************


At 9:30 pm EDT Australia will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will focus on the Change. Expected at 14.9k after a prior of 15.6k. Set it up on AUDUSD with a trigger of 20k or higher. This is subject to the Australian delay so straddle may be a good idea.


Good luck everybody!

Tuesday April 14, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 13, 2015 at 6:50 PM Comments comments (2)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release CPI y/y. Expected at 0 after a prior of 0. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 0.3 or higher.


At 8:30 am EST the US will release Core Retail Sales m/m. Expected at 0.7 after a prior of -0.1. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.8 or higher.


Good luck everybody!

Friday April 10, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 9, 2015 at 6:00 PM Comments comments (0)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release Industrial Productio. Expected at 0.3 after a prior of -0.1. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher.


At 8:30 am EST Canada will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will trade the Change. Expected at -0.5K after a prior of -1.0K. Set it up on USDCAD with a trigger of 20k or higher.


Good luck everybody!

Thursday April 9, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 8, 2015 at 8:30 PM Comments comments (0)

At 7:00 am EST the UK will release Asset Purchase Facility Votes and Interest Rate. No change is expected. Set it up on GBPUSD for both releases with a trigger of 0.25 each. 


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Natural Gas Inventories. I don't have any information at the moment but you can set it up on Natural Gas with a trigger of 10 or higher. I will try to post something if i get it before the news comes out.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday April 8, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 7, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (0)

At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Check expected number tomorrow and set it up on Oil with a trigger of 7 MB or higher and use Gasoline as a confirmation. I don't have any statistics for tomorrow i couldn't find anything at the moment. I will try to post it if i get it before the publication.


At 2:00 pm EDT the US will release FOMC Meeting Minutes. This will bring some volatility to the US pairs and it can be a good oportunity to trade with straddle.


Good luck everybody!

Tuesday April 7, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 6, 2015 at 6:30 PM Comments comments (2)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release Services PMI. Expected at 57.1 after a prior of 56.7. Set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 2.5 or higher.


Good luck everybody!

Monday April 6, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 5, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (0)

At 10:00 am EST the US will release ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Expected at 56.6 after a prior of 56.9. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 3.0. Most of the banks are on holidays so liquidity will be very low. 


At 9:30 pm EDT Australia will release Retail Sales. Expected at 0.4 after a prior of 0.4. Set it up on AUDUSD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher. This will be subject to the Australian delay so straddel may work very well if it deviates enough.


At 0:30 am EST Australia will release Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement. Expected to hold at 2.25. Set it up on AUDUSD with a trigger of 0.25. This will be released on time without delay. The Rate statement will provide some volatility as well.


Good luck everybody!

Friday April 3, 2015

Posted by wingstar on April 2, 2015 at 7:25 PM Comments comments (3)

At 8:30 am EST the US will release Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will focus on the Change. Glenn will host it and provide the signal tomorrow so don't miss it. Meet him 20 or 15 minutes before the release in the chat room.


Glenn here:  See you in the morning for NPF.  Plan to use a trigger of 30K on our reference currency of USDJPY..  Expect low liquididty due to the observance of Good Friday around the world.




Good luck everybody!


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