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Friday February 27, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 26, 2015 at 7:25 PM Comments comments (0)

At 8:30 am EST the US will release Preliminary GDP q/q. Expected at 2.1 after a prior of 2.6. Use FNG and set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.6 or higher. 


Good luck everybody!

Thursday February 26, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 25, 2015 at 7:20 PM Comments comments (0)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release GDP Second Estimate q/q. Expected at 0.5 after a prior of 0.5. Use FNG and set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 0.3 or higher.


At 8:30 Canada and the US will release Core CPI m/m. I don't recommend to trade it because of the potencial conflict between them but if you want to trade it set it up on EURCAD or GBPCAD for Canadian release with a trigger of 0.3 and if you want to trade US release set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.3. 


At 10:30 the EIA will release Natural Gas Inventories. I could not find any statistics for tomorrow but you can set it up on Natural Gas with a triggers of 10 or higher. I will post something if i get it before the data comes out.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday February 25, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 24, 2015 at 7:10 PM Comments comments (0)

At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. I don't use to trade Oil but last week it went totally in the opposite direction. I have no explanation for that except for the API data the day before on Tuesday. The API releases its inventorie data for the same period on later Tuesdays. Unfortunatly this is a paid service and i am not suscribed to it. So i suggest to increase the triggers to 7 MB for Oil and a trigger of 2 MB for Gasoline. Here is the article with the statistics for tomorrow. 


                                      **********************************************************

Analysts Forecast 4.7 Million-Barrel Addition to Crude Stocks

Published: Feb 24, 2015

By Timothy Puko

NEW YORK--U.S. crude-oil stockpiles likely grew last week in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal.

 

Estimates from the 11 analysts surveyed showed that U.S. oil inventories grew by an average 4.7 million barrels in the week ended Friday.

 

All 11 analysts expect stockpiles to rise, with forecasts ranging from gains of 2.5 million barrels to 11.4 million barrels.

 

The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EST Wednesday.

 

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to fall by 1.1 million barrels, according to analysts. Ten analysts expect a fall and one expects a rise. Estimates range from a decline of 2.2 million barrels to an addition of 2 million barrels.

 

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 3.3 million barrels. All 11 analysts expect a fall, with forecasts ranging from drops of 1 million barrels to 8 million barrels.

 

Refinery use is seen falling an average of half a percentage point to 88.2% of capacity. Two analysts expect an increase, eight expect a decrease and one didn't provide an estimate. Forecasts range from a drop of 1.4 points to a rise of 1 point.

 

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is scheduled to release its inventory data for the same period later Tuesday.

 

 

Crude Gasoline Distillates Refinery Use

Again Capital 4.4 -0.8 -1.7 -0.6

Citi Futures Perspective 4.5 -1.5 -2.5 -0.5

Confluence Investment Management 2.5 -2.0 -1.0 1.0

Excel Futures 11.4 -0.6 -4.1 -1.4

IAF Advisors 4.0 -1.0 -3.5 n.a.

Jefferies Bache LLC 4.9 -0.5 -8.0 -0.3

Oil Outlooks 3.5 -1.5 -2.5 -1.0

Price Futures Group 3.5 -2.0 -4.0 -1.0

Ritterbusch and Associates 4.5 -2.2 -4.5 0.3

Schneider Electric 3.6 -1.5 -2.0 -0.7

Tradition Energy 4.5 2.0 -3.0 -0.5

 

AVERAGE 4.7 -1.1 -3.3 -0.5

                                    *****************************************************


Good luck everybody!


Monday February 23, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 19, 2015 at 5:40 PM Comments comments (3)

At 4:00 am EST Germany will release IFO Business Climate. Expected at 107.4 after a prior of 106.7. Use FNG and set it up on EURUSD with a trigger of 2.0 or higher. 


Good luck everybody!

Friday February 20, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 19, 2015 at 5:40 PM Comments comments (0)

At 4:30 am EST the UK will release Retail Sales. Expected at -0.1 after a prior of 0.4. Use FNG and set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher.


At 8:30 am EST Canada will release Core Retail Sales. Expected at -0.7 after a prior of 0.7. Use FNG and set it up on USDCAD with a trigger of 1.0 or higher. Don't forget to reverse the triggers.


Good luck everybody!

Thursday February 19, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 18, 2015 at 7:05 PM Comments comments (6)

At 10:30 am EST the EIA will publish Natural Gas Inventories. We will check expected number tomorrow, prior is -160 Bcf. According to the average prediction of 21 analysts and traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journal we have:


Range: 24 Bcf

High estimate: -96 Bcf

Low estimate: -120 Bcf

Average: -108.4 Bcf

Standard deviation: 5.5 Bcf


Use FNG and set it up on US Natural Gas with a trigger of +-10 or higher. Don´t forget to reverse the triggers.


At 11:00 am EST the EIA will publish Crude Oil Inventories. Crude oil stoks are expected to rise 3.7 MB according to the average prediction of 12 analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. 


-----OIL----

  Prior: 4.9 MB

  Range: 3 MB

  High estimate: 5.5 MB

  Low estimate: 2 MB

*All 12 analysts expect stockpiles to rise.


-----GASOLINE-----

-Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise 0.5 MB on average according to analysts.  

  Prior: 1.9 MB

  Range: 5 MB

  High estimate: 2.5 MB

  Low estimate: 2.5 MB

*Eight analysts expect a rise while four a decline.


Use FNG and set it up on Oil with a trigger of +-4 or higher and if you have another autoclick with multireport resolution combine it with Gasoline for comfirmation with a triggers of +-4 on Oil and +-2 or higher for Gasoline. Don`t forget to revesre the triggers. 


Good luck everybody!

 

 

 

Wednesday February 18, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 17, 2015 at 8:00 PM Comments comments (0)

At 4:30 the UK will release Claimant Count Change together with Rate and Asset Purchase Facility votes. I suggest to skip them untill they would be released alone to avoid conflicting data. 


At 2:00 pm EDT the FOMC Meeting Minutes will provide some volatility. It may be a good oportunity to straddle if you want to scalp a few pips.


Good luck everybody!

Tuesday February 17, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 16, 2015 at 6:35 PM Comments comments (0)

At 3:30 am EST Sweden will release CPI m/m. Expected at -1.1 after a prior of 0.16. This is not tradeable with FNG but for those of you who have other autoclick service like SNW and want to give a try you can set it up on USDSEK or EURSEK with a trigger of 0.3 or higher. Don't forget to reverse the triggers.


At 4:30 am EST the UK will release CPI y/y. Expected at 0.3 after a prior of 0.5. Use FNG and set it up on GBPUSD with a trigger of 0.3 or higher. 


At 5:00 am EST Germany will release ZEW Economic Sentiment. Expected at 55.4 after a prior of 48.4. Use FNG and set it up on EURUSD with a trigger of 15 or higher. 


Good luck everybody!

Thursday February 12, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 11, 2015 at 6:40 PM Comments comments (0)

At 3:30 am EST Sweden will release Interest Rate. Expected to hold at 0. Use FNG and set it up on EURSEK or USDSEK with a trigger of 0.1 and don't forget to reverse the triggers.


At 5:30 am EST the UK will release Inflation Report. This is a very important anouncement released every 4 months. It's a good oportunity to straddle but be carefull because most of the times it doesn't take a clear direction.


At 8:30 am EST The US will release Core Retail Sells. Expected at -0.4 after a prior of -1.0. Use FNG and set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 0.8 or higher. 


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will publish Natural Gas Inventories. We will check expected number tomorrow, prior is -115 Bcf. According to the average prediction of 16 analysts and traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journall we have:


Range: 36 Bcf

High estimate: -149 Bcf

Low estimate: -185 Bcf

Median: 173 Bcf

EIA estimate: -170 Bcf


Use FNG and set it up on Natural Gas with a trigger of +-10 or higher. Remember: higher numbers means a sell and lower numbers, a buy.


Good luck everybody!

Wednesday February 11, 2015

Posted by wingstar on February 10, 2015 at 6:50 PM Comments comments (5)

 ******UPDATE******


At 7:30 pm EDT Australia will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. We will trade the change. Expected at -4.7k after a prior of 37.4k. Use FNG and set it up on AUDUSD with a trigger of 20k or higher. This is subject to Australian delay. Straddle may work very well if it deviates enought and Unemployment Rate comes out in agreement of the Change. 


For those of you who don't know how to program FNG check this link:

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/current-forex-trading-signals/38520-forex-news-trading-plans-week-7-feb-8-feb-14-2015-a.html


Good luck everybody!



At 10:30 am EST Energy Information Administration will publish Crude Oil Inventories. Based on 12 analysts and traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journal we have:


---OIL: We will check expected number tomorrow. All 12 analysts expect a rise of 4 MB in average.

      Prior: 6.3 MB

      Range: 3.5 MB

      High estimate: 6 MB

      Low estimate: 2.5 MB

      Average: 4.03 MB


---GASOLINE: According to the 12 analysts Gasoline stockpiles are expected to rise by 200.000 Barrels. 6 analysts expect a rise while the other 6 a decline

     Prior: 2.34 MB

     Range: 0.9 MB

     High estimate: 2.4 MB

     Low estimate: 1.5 MB


Use FNG and set it  up on Clude Oil, if your broker allows you to trade it, with a trigger of 4 Million Barrel. If your autoclick have multireport resolution set it up for both Oil and Gasoline with a trigger of 4 MB. Remember that higher numbers means a sell and lower numbers, a buy.


Good luck everybody!


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